Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.027123 0.029233 0.031353 0.033638 0.036029 0.038454 0.041097
2025-11-23 0.022859 0.026146 0.029572 0.033392 0.037521 0.041836 0.046671
2025-11-30 0.020243 0.024206 0.028447 0.033294 0.038649 0.044358 0.050875
2025-12-07 0.017930 0.022313 0.027117 0.032722 0.039033 0.045873 0.053800
2025-12-14 0.015931 0.020587 0.025805 0.032010 0.039116 0.046928 0.056100
2025-12-21 0.014255 0.019100 0.024644 0.031355 0.039158 0.047849 0.058171
2025-12-28 0.013579 0.018731 0.024727 0.032085 0.040740 0.050478 0.062141
2026-01-04 0.012642 0.017980 0.024300 0.032166 0.041529 0.052167 0.065017
2026-01-11 0.011724 0.017190 0.023776 0.032084 0.042088 0.053560 0.067528
2026-01-18 0.011299 0.016990 0.023943 0.032814 0.043590 0.056040 0.071293
2026-01-25 0.010508 0.016275 0.023436 0.032687 0.044042 0.057268 0.073586
2026-02-01 0.009834 0.015672 0.023036 0.032664 0.044595 0.058599 0.075986
2026-02-08 0.009086 0.014977 0.022544 0.032574 0.045139 0.060015 0.078615
2026-02-15 0.008309 0.014210 0.021941 0.032338 0.045512 0.061247 0.081066
2026-02-22 0.007658 0.013574 0.021472 0.032241 0.046031 0.062637 0.083692
2026-03-01 0.006892 0.012723 0.020675 0.031681 0.045938 0.063258 0.085374
2026-03-08 0.006146 0.011850 0.019803 0.030985 0.045638 0.063598 0.086695
2026-03-15 0.005486 0.011056 0.019001 0.030344 0.045378 0.063963 0.088026
2026-03-22 0.005306 0.010991 0.019212 0.031058 0.046865 0.066504 0.092033
2026-03-29 0.004947 0.010619 0.018967 0.031137 0.047517 0.067995 0.094745
2026-04-05 0.004568 0.010189 0.018618 0.031057 0.047947 0.069198 0.097098
2026-04-12 0.004436 0.010156 0.018844 0.031771 0.049425 0.071731 0.101112
2026-04-19 0.004089 0.009738 0.018481 0.031647 0.049779 0.072830 0.103335